Reasoning Under Uncertainty (Part 2) — Differential Diagnosis of COVID-19


This webinar introduces our collaborative knowledge elicitation project for the differential diagnosis of COVID-19 and influenza-like diseases.

COVID-19 WebSimulator


From Local Insight to Worldwide Diagnostic Practice

We present a comprehensive knowledge elicitation and reasoning framework that is built on the Bayesian network paradigm. You will see the practical steps for eliciting knowledge with the Bayesia Expert Knowledge Elicitation Environment and see the resulting knowledge base in the form of a Bayesian network. This workflow aggregates the emerging medical knowledge and produces an evolving expert system that can be used by clinicians through a public web portal.  

Call for Expertise

At present, we are collaborating with a group of physicians and medical researchers to develop an initial knowledge base. The Bayesian network model that underpins our COVID-19 WebSimulator represents the current state of knowledge of our group of domain experts. Given the complexities of the disease, we are looking for experts from around the world to help us validate and refine the current model.

Please register here to join our COVID-19 knowledge engineering group.

Overcoming Human Challenges in Reasoning

We also briefly present the principles of probabilistic inference and the fundamental challenges that humans — including experts — have with reasoning from symptoms back to their potential causes. In this context, we introduce Bayesian networks as a reasoning framework that can help overcome these cognitive limitations and provide normative inference given the available knowledge.

Stefan Conrady and Lionel Jouffe are the co-hosts of this online event. 

Please note that the COVID-19 WebSimulator is experimental and not meant to provide medical advice to patients. Always consult your healthcare professional regarding any symptoms or health conditions you may have!

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